Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2026 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 27' goal
  • Anders Dreyer 56' goal
  • Aníbal Godoy 63' yellowcard
  • Wilson Eisner 63' yellowcard
  • Lewis Morgan  74' yellowcard
  • Osvald Søe 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Sergi Solans 17'
  • yellowcard Diego Luna 46'
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 67'
  • yellowcard Victor Olatunji 67'
  • goal Victor Olatunji 85'

San Diego vs Real Salt Lake - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 12.30am
Dallas 3 - 3 San Diego
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 1.30am
Salt Lake 2 - 1 Austin
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Aiden Hezarkhani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.01% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

San Diego 59.23%
Draw 21.01% (-0.03)
Real Salt Lake 19.73%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.44% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.37% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 17.63% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 61.69% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 38.31% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 39.05% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 60.95% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 25.05% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 74.95% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

San Diego 44.59%
Draw 36.35%
Real Salt Lake 19.06%

Team To Score First

San Diego 63.92% (+0.03)
No Goal 4.35% (-0.04)
Real Salt Lake 31.73% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.32% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 34.83% (-0.04)
Over 9 41.67% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 46.68% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 31.14% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 68.86% (-0.02)

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 59.59% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 40.41% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 33.26% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 66.74% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 15.5%
Under 3.5 84.5%

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5 56.74% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 43.26% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 26.19% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 73.81% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.31% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.69% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.24% (-0.02)

Score analysis

San Diego 59.22%
Draw 21.02%
Real Salt Lake 19.74%
San Diego
2-1 @ 10.13%
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.53% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 15.2%
Total : 59.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.02%
Real Salt Lake
1-2 @ 5.25%
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.46% (+0.01)
Total : 19.74%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 12.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Hirving Lozano 45'+5' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 45'+5' goal
  • Luca Bombino 56' yellowcard
  • Luca Bombino 56' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 73' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 73' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Alvarado 87' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Alvarado 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 45'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 45'
  • goal Diego Luna 45'+1'
  • goal Diego Luna 45'+1'
  • goal Diego Luna 54'
  • goal Diego Luna 54'
  • goal Samuel Junqua 66'
  • goal Samuel Junqua 66'
  • yellowcard Philip Quinton 83'
  • yellowcard Philip Quinton 83'
  • yellowcard Diogo Goncalves 86'
  • yellowcard Diogo Goncalves 86'
  • yellowcard Bode Davis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Bode Davis 90'+3'
  • redcard Bode Davis 90'+6'
  • redcard Bode Davis 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 2.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Ariath Piol 17' goal
  • Ariath Piol 17' goal
  • Braian Ojeda 69' yellowcard
  • Braian Ojeda 69' yellowcard
  • Rafael Cabral 75' yellowcard
  • Rafael Cabral 75' yellowcard
  • Justen Glad 78' yellowcard
  • Justen Glad 78' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Negri 43'
  • goal Franco Negri 43'
  • yellowcard Jeppe Tverskov 77'
  • yellowcard Jeppe Tverskov 77'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 90'+1'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 90'+1'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 90'+6'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 90'+6'