Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2026 11.00pm
Snapdragon Stadium

San Diego vs Real Salt Lake - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 12.30am
Dallas 3 - 3 San Diego
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Anders Dreyer

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 1.30am
Salt Lake 2 - 1 Austin
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Aiden Hezarkhani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Diego win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw has a probability of 21.04% and a win for Real Salt Lake has a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.53%) , while for a Real Salt Lake win it is 1-2 (5.15%).

Result

San Diego 59.76% (-0.04)
Draw 21.04%
Real Salt Lake 19.2% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.68% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.88% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 18.12% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 60.96% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 38.31% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 61.69% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 24.48% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 75.52% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

San Diego 44.59%
Draw 36.35%
Real Salt Lake 19.06%

Team To Score First

San Diego 63.81% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.51% (-0.01)
Real Salt Lake 31.68%

Corners

Over 8 53.33%
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 34.83%
Over 9 41.67%
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 46.67%
Over 10.5 31.14%
Under 10.5 68.86%

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 59.55%
Under 1.5 40.45%
Over 2.5 33.16% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 66.84% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 15.41% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 84.59% (-0.01)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5 56.03% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 43.97% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.29% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 74.71% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.27% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.51% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.49% (-0.03)

Score analysis

San Diego 59.75%
Draw 21.05%
Real Salt Lake 19.18%
San Diego
2-1 @ 10.17% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55%
3-0 @ 6.25%
3-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 15.13%
Total : 59.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.53%
2-2 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.28% (+0.02)
Total : 21.05%
Real Salt Lake
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.45%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.23% (+0.01)
Total : 19.18%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 12.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Hirving Lozano 45'+5' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 45'+5' goal
  • Luca Bombino 56' yellowcard
  • Luca Bombino 56' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 73' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 73' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Alvarado 87' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Alvarado 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 45'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 45'
  • goal Diego Luna 45'+1'
  • goal Diego Luna 45'+1'
  • goal Diego Luna 54'
  • goal Diego Luna 54'
  • goal Samuel Junqua 66'
  • goal Samuel Junqua 66'
  • yellowcard Philip Quinton 83'
  • yellowcard Philip Quinton 83'
  • yellowcard Diogo Goncalves 86'
  • yellowcard Diogo Goncalves 86'
  • yellowcard Bode Davis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Bode Davis 90'+3'
  • redcard Bode Davis 90'+6'
  • redcard Bode Davis 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 2.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Ariath Piol 17' goal
  • Ariath Piol 17' goal
  • Braian Ojeda 69' yellowcard
  • Braian Ojeda 69' yellowcard
  • Rafael Cabral 75' yellowcard
  • Rafael Cabral 75' yellowcard
  • Justen Glad 78' yellowcard
  • Justen Glad 78' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Negri 43'
  • goal Franco Negri 43'
  • yellowcard Jeppe Tverskov 77'
  • yellowcard Jeppe Tverskov 77'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 90'+1'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 90'+1'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 90'+6'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 90'+6'