Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.01% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.