CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 19, 2026 3.00am
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 3.30am
San Diego 3 - 2 Toluca

San Diego

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 3.30am
San Diego 3 - 2 Toluca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 54.86%. A win for San Diego has a probability of 23.49% and a draw has a probability of 21.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest San Diego win is 1-2 (5.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.82%).

Result

Toluca 54.86%
Draw 21.65%
San Diego 23.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.73%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.09%
Under 1.5 17.91%
Over 2.5 61.17%
Under 2.5 38.83%
Over 3.5 39.04%
Under 3.5 60.96%
Over 4.5 24.64%
Under 4.5 75.36%

First Half Winner

Toluca 40.56%
Draw 37.04%
San Diego 22.4%

Team To Score First

Toluca 59.61%
No Goal 4.32%
San Diego 36.07%

Corners

Over 8 42.53%
Equal 8 11.82%
Under 8 45.65%
Over 9 31.84%
Equal 9 10.69%
Under 9 57.47%
Over 10.5 22.91%
Under 10.5 77.09%

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 56.18%
Under 1.5 43.82%
Over 2.5 30.25%
Under 2.5 69.75%
Over 3.5 13.51%
Under 3.5 86.49%

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 60.65%
Under 0.5 39.35%
Over 1.5 29.87%
Under 1.5 70.13%
Over 2.5 11.16%
Under 2.5 88.84%
Over 3.5 3.67%
Under 3.5 96.33%

Score analysis

Toluca 54.85%
Draw 21.66%
San Diego 23.49%
Toluca
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 8.54%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 13.26%
Total : 54.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.66%
San Diego
1-2 @ 5.84%
0-1 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 3.14%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 23.49%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 12, 2026 3.30am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • David Vazquez 32' goal
  • David Vazquez 46' goal
  • Anders Dreyer 53' goal
  • Lewis Morgan  61' yellowcard
  • Ian Pilcher 61' yellowcard
  • Pedro Soma 90' yellowcard
  • Osvald Søe 90' yellowcard
  • 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Bryce Duke 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesús Gallardo 16'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Castro 41'
  • yellowcard Pável Pérez 46'
  • yellowcard Helinho 46'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 73'
  • yellowcard Helinho 90'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Córdova 90'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'