CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 19, 2026 3.00am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Jesús Angulo 43' goal
  • Fernando Arce 46' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 56' goal
  • Jesús Angulo 59' goal
  • Alexis Vega 65' yellowcard
  • Diego Barbosa 69' yellowcard
  • 69' yellowcard
  • Luan 89' yellowcard
  • Luan 90' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Jesús Gallardo 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard David Vazquez 62'
  • yellowcard Osvald Søe 62'
  • yellowcard Osvald Søe 64'
  • yellowcard David Vazquez 66'
  • yellowcard 66'
  • yellowcard Wilson Eisner 71'
  • yellowcard Alex Mighten 71'
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Anisse Saidi 71'
  • yellowcard 80'

Toluca vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 3.30am
San Diego 3 - 2 Toluca

San Diego

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 3.30am
San Diego 3 - 2 Toluca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest San Diego win was 1-2 (5.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%).

Result

Toluca 53.86% (+0.04)
Draw 22.17%
San Diego 24% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.68%
Under 1.5 19.32%
Over 2.5 59.19%
Under 2.5 40.81%
Over 3.5 37.31%
Under 3.5 62.69%
Over 4.5 23.16%
Under 4.5 76.84%

First Half Winner

Toluca 39.97%
Draw 37.08%
San Diego 22.95%

Team To Score First

Toluca 59.96%
No Goal 4.84%
San Diego 35.2%

Corners

Over 8 44.3% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.28%
Under 8 43.41% (-0.05)
Over 9 33.04% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.26% (+0.01)
Under 9 55.7% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 23.56% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 76.44% (-0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 54.35% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 45.65% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 28.78% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 71.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 12.4% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 87.6% (-0.02)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 60.73% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 39.27% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.51% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.49% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.84% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.16% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.65% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.35% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Toluca 53.86%
Draw 22.17%
San Diego 23.99%
Toluca
2-1 @ 9.58%
1-0 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 12.15% (+0.01)
Total : 53.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.17%
San Diego
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-1 @ 5.54% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.4% (-0.02)
Total : 23.99%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions League
Mar 12, 2026 3.30am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • David Vazquez 32' goal
  • David Vazquez 46' goal
  • Anders Dreyer 53' goal
  • Lewis Morgan  61' yellowcard
  • Ian Pilcher 61' yellowcard
  • Pedro Soma 90' yellowcard
  • Osvald Søe 90' yellowcard
  • 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Bryce Duke 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesús Gallardo 16'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Castro 41'
  • yellowcard Pável Pérez 46'
  • yellowcard Helinho 46'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 73'
  • yellowcard Helinho 90'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Córdova 90'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'