Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 74.74%. A draw had a probability of 16.81% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 8.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.87%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%) , while for a Atlas win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.