Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest San Diego win was 1-2 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.