Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.74% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%) , while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.