Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-0 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.