Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.