Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.