Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 7, 2026 3.00am
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa vs Pumas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 1.00am
Pachuca 2 - 1 Necaxa
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Julian Carranza

Pumas

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 3.10am
Pumas 2 - 3 Toluca
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Jordan Carrillo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Pumas has a probability of 35.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Pumas win is 1-2 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.93%).

Result

Necaxa 38.49% (-0.33)
Draw 25.52% (-0.08)
Pumas 35.96% (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.06% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.78% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.22% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 53.29% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.71% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.14% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 69.86% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 16.74% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 83.26% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Necaxa 34.13%
Draw 41.01%
Pumas 24.87%

Team To Score First

Necaxa 52.52% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.28% (+0.02)
Pumas 41.2%

Corners

Over 8 62.13% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.06% (-0.01)
Under 8 26.81% (+0.04)
Over 9 50.45% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 37.87% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 39.17% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 60.83% (+0.01)

Necaxa Goals

Over 1.5 39.7% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 60.3% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 16.63% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 83.37% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 5.56% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 94.44% (+0.08)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5 70.68% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 29.32% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 37.65% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 62.35% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 14.97% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 85.03% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 4.88% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.12% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Necaxa 38.51%
Draw 25.52%
Pumas 35.95%
Necaxa
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.6% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.41% (-0.09)
Total : 38.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.28% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
Pumas
1-2 @ 8.45% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 8.32% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.62% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.49% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.86% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.73% (+0.09)
Total : 35.95%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Aug 11, 2025 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jan 12, 2025 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
  • Jorge Ruvalcaba 25' goal
  • Rodrigo Lopez 28' goal
  • Guillermo Martinez 38' yellowcard
  • Jose Caicedo 87' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Magallan 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Diber Cambindo 64'
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 4.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Alan Montes 27' yellowcard
  • Alan Montes 27' yellowcard
  • Alan Montes 27' yellowcard
  • Agustin Palavecino 57' goal
  • Agustin Palavecino 57' goal
  • Agustin Palavecino 57' goal
  • Fernando Arce 70' goal
  • Fernando Arce 70' goal
  • Fernando Arce 70' goal
  • Jose Paradela 84' yellowcard
  • Jose Paradela 84' yellowcard
  • Jose Paradela 84' yellowcard
  • Emilio Lara 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Emilio Lara 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Emilio Lara 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lisandro Magallan 13'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Magallan 13'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Magallan 13'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Martinez 77'
  • yellowcard Piero Quispe 77'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Martinez 77'
  • yellowcard Cesar Huerta 77'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Martinez 77'
  • yellowcard Cesar Huerta 77'
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Feb 1, 2024 3.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
  • Ulises Rivas 42' goal
  • Ulises Rivas 42' goal
  • Lisandro Magallan 52' goal
  • Lisandro Magallan 52' goal
  • Lisandro Magallan 64' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Magallan 64' yellowcard
  • goal Edgar Mendez 49'
  • goal Edgar Mendez 49'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 49'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 49'
  • redcard Eduardo Fentanes 50'
  • redcard Eduardo Fentanes 50'
  • goal Jose Paradela 54'
  • goal Jose Paradela 54'
  • yellowcard Jair Cortes 78'
  • yellowcard Jair Cortes 78'
  • redcard Jair Cortes 79'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Andrade 79'
  • redcard Jair Cortes 79'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Andrade 79'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Monreal 79'
Liga MX Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Alexis Pena 31' yellowcard
  • Alexis Pena 31' yellowcard
  • Alan Montes 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Alan Montes 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Heriberto Jurado 60' yellowcard
  • Heriberto Jurado 60' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 67' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 67' yellowcard
  • Braian Samudio 74' goal
  • Braian Samudio 74' goal
  • Jorge Rodriguez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jorge Rodriguez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Cesar Huerta 13'
  • yellowcard Jesus Molina 13'
  • redcard Cesar Huerta 13'
  • yellowcard Jesus Molina 13'
  • yellowcard Arturo Ortiz 82'
  • yellowcard Arturo Ortiz 82'
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Feb 16, 2023 3.05am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Edgar Mendez 2' goal
  • Edgar Mendez 6' goal
  • Agustin Oliveros 84' goal
  • goal Nicolas Freire 40'