Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.