Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-2 (6.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.