Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Monterey Bay had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Monterey Bay win was 1-0 (8.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.