Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 51.83%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.