Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.04% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%) , while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.