Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-2 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.