Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.22% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%) , while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.