Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.21% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%) , while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.