Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.