Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.13% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%) , while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.