Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.