Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.