Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 8, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca vs Puebla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2026 1.00am
Pachuca 2 - 1 Necaxa
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Salomon Rondon

Puebla

All competitions
Last game
Mar 5, 2026 1.00am
Puebla 3 - 1 Tigres
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Edgar Guerra

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pachuca win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw has a probability of 24.37% and a win for Puebla has a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.19%) and 2-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.55%) , while for a Puebla win it is 0-1 (6.3%).

Result

Pachuca 55.67% (+0.95)
Draw 24.37% (-0.43)
Puebla 19.96% (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.78% (+0.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.98% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 26.02% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 49.5% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 50.5% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 27.33% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 72.67% (-0.60)
Over 4.5 15.64% (+0.49)
Under 4.5 84.36% (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Pachuca 41.04% (+1.94)
Draw 40.81% (-1.22)
Puebla 18.14% (-0.74)

Team To Score First

Pachuca 61.45% (+1.43)
No Goal 7.11% (-0.30)
Puebla 31.44% (-1.13)

Corners

Over 8 64.34% (+3.73)
Equal 8 10.78% (-0.45)
Under 8 24.88% (-3.29)
Over 9 52.76% (+3.83)
Equal 9 11.58% (-0.11)
Under 9 35.66% (-3.73)
Over 10.5 41.37% (+3.61)
Under 10.5 58.63% (-3.61)

Pachuca Goals

Over 1.5 50.23% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 49.77% (-1.11)
Over 2.5 23.83% (+0.93)
Under 2.5 76.17% (-0.93)
Over 3.5 9.16% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 90.84% (-0.50)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5 55.47% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 44.53% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 22.06% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 77.94% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 6.49% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 93.51% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.54% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.46% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Pachuca 55.66%
Draw 24.36%
Puebla 19.96%
Pachuca
1-0 @ 12.59% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 10.19% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 10.05% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.71% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 5.37% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.7% (+0.05)
Other @ 9.05% (+0.50)
Total : 55.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.7% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.36%
Puebla
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 5.28% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.43% (-0.06)
Total : 19.96%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Sep 24, 2025 2.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Feb 27, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Pedro Pedraza 34' yellowcard
  • Pedro Pedraza 34' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 67' goal
  • John Kennedy 67' goal
  • John Kennedy 77' goal
  • John Kennedy 77' goal
  • goal Ricardo Marin 6'
  • goal Ricardo Marin 6'
  • yellowcard Raul Castillo 50'
  • yellowcard Raul Castillo 50'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Ferrareis 63'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Ferrareis 63'
  • redcard Facundo Waller 73'
  • redcard Facundo Waller 73'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 2.00am
2
3
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio Cuauhtemoc
  • Emiliano Gomez 19' goal
  • Emiliano Gomez 19' goal
  • Luis Quinones 33' yellowcard
  • Luis Quinones 33' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Gomez 60' goal
  • Emiliano Gomez 60' goal
  • goal Salomon Rondon 13'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 13'
  • goal Nelson Deossa 37'
  • goal Nelson Deossa 37'
  • goal Nelson Deossa 72'
  • goal Nelson Deossa 72'
  • yellowcard Carlos Moreno 89'
  • yellowcard Carlos Moreno 89'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Feb 21, 2024 1.00am
1
4
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Cuauhtemoc
  • Pablo Gonzalez 4' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gonzalez 4' yellowcard
  • Gaston Silva 6' yellowcard
  • Gaston Silva 6' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gonzalez 13' goal
  • Pablo Gonzalez 13' goal
  • Sebastian Olmedo 32' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Olmedo 32' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cavallini 46' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cavallini 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Salomon Rondon 3'
  • yellowcard Salomon Rondon 3'
  • goal Sergio Barreto 5'
  • goal Sergio Barreto 5'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cabral 51'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cabral 51'
  • goal Alan Bautista 56'
  • goal Alan Bautista 56'
  • goal Erick Sanchez 66'
  • goal Erick Sanchez 66'
  • goal Alan Bautista 90'+6'
  • goal Alan Bautista 90'+6'
Liga MX Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2023 1.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Lucas Di Yorio 7' goal
  • Lucas Di Yorio 7' goal
  • Erick Sanchez 52' yellowcard
  • Erick Sanchez 52' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Almada 53' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Almada 53' yellowcard
  • Celso Ortiz 72' yellowcard
  • Celso Ortiz 72' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Velasco 12'
  • goal Kevin Velasco 12'
  • yellowcard Lucas de los Santos 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Lucas de los Santos 90'+5'
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jan 10, 2023 3.10am
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Luis Chavez 5' goal
  • Nicolas Ibanez 9' goal
  • Javier Lopez 62' goal
  • Kevin Alvarez 65' goal
  • Nicolas Ibanez 71' goal
  • goal Martin Barragan 45'