Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.34% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.18%) and 2-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%) , while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.