Liga MX Gameweek 12
Mar 22, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Enner Valencia 57' yellowcard
  • Elías Montiel 67' yellowcard
  • Elías Montiel 72' goal
  • Gael Arturo Álvarez Montiel 84' yellowcard
  • Cristóbal Saúl Alfaro Avilés 84' yellowcard
  • Luis Enrique Quiñones García 84' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Romero 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 57'
  • yellowcard Jorge Díaz 74'
  • yellowcard Diego Barbosa 74'
  • yellowcard Diego Barbosa 75'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Córdova 90'+1'

Pachuca vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 11.00pm
Atletico San Luis 1 - 1 Pachuca
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Salomon Rondon

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 1.00am
Toluca 1 - 1 Atlas
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 2-1 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Pachuca 35.09% (-0.03)
Draw 25.88%
Toluca 39.04% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.39% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 53.23% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 46.77% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 30.72% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 69.28% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.35% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 82.65% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Pachuca 30.1%
Draw 42.6%
Toluca 27.3%

Team To Score First

Pachuca 46.6% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.45% (-0.01)
Toluca 46.95%

Corners

Over 8 59.05%
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 29.44%
Over 9 47.2%
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 40.95%
Over 10.5 36.03% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 63.97% (-0.01)

Pachuca Goals

Over 1.5 37.14% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62.86% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.93%
Under 2.5 85.07%
Over 3.5 4.93%
Under 3.5 95.07%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 72.83% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.17% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.18% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.82% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.1% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.9% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.89% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.11% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Pachuca 35.09%
Draw 25.87%
Toluca 39.04%
Pachuca
2-1 @ 8.25%
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 2.57%
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 35.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.87%
Toluca
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 6.03% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.85%
Other @ 5.68% (+0.02)
Total : 39.04%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Oct 27, 2025 1.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 13
Mar 29, 2025 11.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Jesus Angulo 13' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 38' goal
  • Alexis Vega 45'+3' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 54' yellowcard
  • Pau Lopez 55' yellowcard
  • Victor Arteaga 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Rodriguez 9'
  • goal Pau Lopez 62' (OG)
  • goal Pedro Pedraza 86'
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2024 2.00am
2
2
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Jorge Berlanga 41' yellowcard
  • Jorge Berlanga 41' yellowcard
  • Jorge Berlanga 41' yellowcard
  • Sergio Adrian Hernandez Hernandez 57' goal
  • Sergio Adrian Hernandez Hernandez 57' goal
  • Sergio Adrian Hernandez Hernandez 57' goal
  • Owen Gonzalez 68' goal
  • Owen Gonzalez 68' goal
  • Owen Gonzalez 68' goal
  • Jorge Berlanga 81' redcard
  • Jorge Berlanga 81' redcard
  • Jorge Berlanga 81' redcard
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 37'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 37'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 37'
  • goal Alexis Vega 45'
  • goal Alexis Vega 45'
  • goal Alexis Vega 45'
  • yellowcard Victor Arteaga 55'
  • yellowcard Victor Arteaga 55'
  • yellowcard Victor Arteaga 55'
  • goal Anderson Duarte 79'
  • goal Anderson Duarte 79'
  • goal Anderson Duarte 79'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 90'
  • yellowcard <TBD> 90'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 90'
  • yellowcard <TBD> 90'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 90'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 90'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 90'+1'
Liga MX Gameweek 13
Mar 31, 2024 3.00am
2
3
HT : 2 6
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Miguel Rodriguez 3' goal
  • Miguel Rodriguez 3' goal
  • Sergio Barreto 31' yellowcard
  • Sergio Barreto 31' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Almada 32' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 36' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 36' yellowcard
  • Carlos Sanchez 39' yellowcard
  • Carlos Sanchez 39' yellowcard
  • Bryan Gonzalez 82' goal
  • Bryan Gonzalez 82' goal
  • Elias Montiel 83' yellowcard
  • Elias Montiel 84' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Almada 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Luis Rodriguez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Luis Rodriguez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Garcia 13'
  • goal Brian Garcia 13'
  • goal Tiago Volpi 34'
  • goal Tiago Volpi 34'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 36'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 36'
  • goal Alexis Vega 44'
  • goal Alexis Vega 44'
  • yellowcard Carlos Orrantia 75'
  • yellowcard Carlos Orrantia 75'
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Tiago Volpi 26' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 29' goal
  • Juan Dominguez 53' goal
  • Pedro Raul 57' goal
  • Pedro Raul 63' goal
  • Jesus Venegas 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Rodriguez 18'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Almada 19'
  • yellowcard Carlos Moreno 24'
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Feb 20, 2023 3.05am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Javier Lopez 79' goal
  • goal Edgar Lopez 11'
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 90'+2'