Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.04% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%) , while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.