Major League Soccer
Toronto
Apr 23, 2026 12.30am
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT BMO Field
Philadelphia
  • Malik Henry 54' yellowcard
  • Josh Sargent 56' goal
  • Kobe Franklin 64' goal
  • Lazar Stefanović 65' yellowcard
  • Luka Gavran 90'+6' goal
  • goal Milan Iloski 45'+4'
  • goal Danley Jean Jacques 52'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya  65'
  • yellowcard Ezekiel Alladoh 79'
  • yellowcard Malik Jakupović 82'
  • yellowcard Cavan Sullivan 82'
  • yellowcard Cavan Sullivan 83'
  • goal Nathan Harriel 89'

Toronto vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 6.00pm
Toronto 3 - 3 Austin
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 0 - 0 DC United
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 39.28% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 26.85%
Philadelphia Union 33.83% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.13%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.64% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 50.25%
Under 2.5 49.75%
Over 3.5 28.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 71.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.45% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Toronto 26.84%
Draw 43.09%
Philadelphia Union 30.07%

Team To Score First

Toronto 45.3%
No Goal 7.09%
Philadelphia Union 47.61%

Corners

Over 8 60.78%
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 27.8%
Over 9 48.86%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 39.22%
Over 10.5 37.49%
Under 10.5 62.51%

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 39.1% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 60.9% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 16% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 84% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.83% ▲ (+0.04)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 68.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 31.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 35.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.96% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.37% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Toronto 39.28%
Draw 26.85%
Philadelphia Union 33.82%
Toronto
1-0 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 39.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 26.85%
Philadelphia Union
0-1 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.82%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Philadelphia
Aug 10, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Toronto
MLS Playoffs
Toronto
May 29, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Philadelphia
  • Ola Brynhildsen 75' goal
  • Ola Brynhildsen 75' goal
  • goal Nathan Harriel 86'
  • goal Nathan Harriel 86'
  • yellowcard Tai Baribo 89'
  • yellowcard Tai Baribo 89'
  • goal Kai Wagner 90'+2'
  • goal Kai Wagner 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT BMO Field
Philadelphia
  • Jack Elliott 74' goal
  • Jack Elliott 74' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 78' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 78' goal
  • goal Tai Baribo 39'
  • goal Tai Baribo 39'
  • yellowcard Quinn Sullivan 77'
  • yellowcard Quinn Sullivan 77'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
May 30, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Subaru Park
Toronto
  • Alejandro Bedoya 25' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Bedoya 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 87'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 87'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Spicer 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Spicer 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 2
FT BMO Field
Philadelphia
  • Lorenzo Insigne 23' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 23' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 58' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 58' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 63' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 63' goal
  • Franco Ibarra 76' yellowcard
  • Franco Ibarra 76' yellowcard
  • Tomas Romero 87' yellowcard
  • Tomas Romero 87' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Victor Vazquez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Victor Vazquez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Carranza 45'
  • goal Julian Carranza 45'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 90'+5'
  • redcard Jesus Bueno 90'+7'
  • redcard Jesus Bueno 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 90'+9'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
Toronto
  • Lukas MacNaughton 16' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 20' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 43' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 56' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 66'
  • goal Richie Laryea 90'+2'

Form Data

Toronto 3 - 3 Austin
Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Toronto 3 - 2 Colorado
Toronto 2 - 1 Columbus Crew
Toronto 1 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Cincinnati 0 - 1 Toronto
Philadelphia 0 - 0 DC United
Montreal 1 - 2 Philadelphia
Charlotte FC 2 - 1 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 1 - 2 Chicago Fire
America 1 - 1 Philadelphia
Atlanta 3 - 1 Philadelphia