Apr 23, 2026 12.30am

BMO Field

Toronto vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

D
W
W
D
W
L

Major League Soccer

D
W
W
D
W
L

Last game

Apr 11, 2026 6.00pm

Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati

Goals scored

10

Top scorer

Dániel Sallói

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

W
L
L
D
L
L

Major League Soccer

W
L
L
L
L
L

Last game

Apr 11, 2026 7.30pm

Montreal 1 - 2 Philadelphia

Goals scored

6

Top scorer

Agustín Anello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toronto win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Philadelphia Union has a probability of 34% and a draw has a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win is 0-1 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).

Result

Toronto 39.56%

Draw 26.47%

Philadelphia Union 34%

Both Teams to Score:

54.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.65%

Under 1.5 25.35%

Over 2.5 50.24%

Under 2.5 49.76%

Over 3.5 28.58%

Under 3.5 71.42%

Over 4.5 15.74%

Under 4.5 84.26%

First Half Winner

Toronto 26.53%

Draw 43.13%

Philadelphia Union 30.34%

Team To Score First

Toronto 43.99%

No Goal 7.11%

Philadelphia Union 48.9%

Corners

Over 8 60.1%

Equal 8 11.65%

Under 8 28.25%

Over 9 47.98%

Equal 9 12.12%

Under 9 39.9%

Over 10.5 36.48%

Under 10.5 63.52%

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 39.16%

Under 1.5 60.84%

Over 2.5 16.11%

Under 2.5 83.89%

Over 3.5 5.22%

Under 3.5 94.78%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 68.38%

Under 0.5 31.62%

Over 1.5 34.97%

Under 1.5 65.03%

Over 2.5 13.6%

Under 2.5 86.4%

Over 3.5 4.49%

Under 3.5 95.51%

Score analysis

Toronto 39.56%

Draw 26.46%

Philadelphia Union 34.02%

Toronto

1-0 @ 9.69%

2-1 @ 8.4%

2-0 @ 6.66%

3-1 @ 3.95%

3-0 @ 3.15%

3-2 @ 2.66%

Other @ 5.05%

Total : 39.56%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.47%

0-0 @ 7.11%

2-2 @ 5.58%

3-3 @ 1.13%

Other @ 0.17%

Total : 26.46%

Philadelphia Union

0-1 @ 8.59%

1-2 @ 7.85%

0-2 @ 5.28%

1-3 @ 3.31%

2-3 @ 2.41%

0-3 @ 2.26%

Other @ 4.32%

Total : 34.02%

Head to Head

Aug 10, 2025 12.30am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

May 29, 2025 12.30am

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT BMO Field

Ola Brynhildsen 75'
Ola Brynhildsen 75'

Nathan Harriel 86'
Nathan Harriel 86'
Tai Baribo 89'
Tai Baribo 89'
Kai Wagner 90'+2'
Kai Wagner 90'+2'
Alejandro Bedoya 90'+7'
Alejandro Bedoya 90'+7'

Jul 14, 2024 12.30am

2

1

HT : 0 2

FT BMO Field

Jack Elliott 74'
Jack Elliott 74'
Deandre Kerr 78'
Deandre Kerr 78'

Tai Baribo 39'
Tai Baribo 39'
Quinn Sullivan 77'
Quinn Sullivan 77'

May 30, 2024 12.30am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Subaru Park

Alejandro Bedoya 25'
Alejandro Bedoya 25'

Matty Longstaff 87'
Matty Longstaff 87'
Tyrese Spicer 90'+3'
Tyrese Spicer 90'+3'

Aug 31, 2023 12.30am

3

1

HT : 2 2

FT BMO Field

Lorenzo Insigne 23'
Lorenzo Insigne 23'
Deandre Kerr 58'
Deandre Kerr 58'
Jonathan Osorio 63'
Jonathan Osorio 63'
Franco Ibarra 76'
Franco Ibarra 76'
Tomas Romero 87'
Tomas Romero 87'
Lorenzo Insigne 90'+3'
Lorenzo Insigne 90'+3'
Victor Vazquez 90'+5'
Victor Vazquez 90'+6'

Julian Carranza 45'
Julian Carranza 45'
Jakob Glesnes 90'+1'
Jakob Glesnes 90'+1'
Jose Andres Martinez 90'+4'
Jose Andres Martinez 90'+5'
Jesus Bueno 90'+7'
Jesus Bueno 90'+7'
Kai Wagner 90'+9'

Apr 23, 2023 12.30am

4

2

HT : 3 0

FT Talen Energy Stadium

Lukas MacNaughton 16'
Mikael Uhre 20'
Mikael Uhre 43'
Mikael Uhre 56'

Lorenzo Insigne 66'
Richie Laryea 90'+2'

Form Data

Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati

Toronto 3 - 2 Colorado

Toronto 2 - 1 Columbus Crew

Toronto 1 - 1 NY Red Bulls

Cincinnati 0 - 1 Toronto

Vancouver 3 - 0 Toronto

Montreal 1 - 2 Philadelphia

Charlotte FC 2 - 1 Philadelphia

Philadelphia 1 - 2 Chicago Fire

America 1 - 1 Philadelphia

Atlanta 3 - 1 Philadelphia

Philadelphia 0 - 1 America