US Open Cup
Apr 29, 2026 3.00am
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT PayPal Park
  • Beau Leroux 15' goal
  • Jack Skahan 34' yellowcard
  • Paul Marie 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Skahan 68' goal
  • Beau Leroux 73' goal
  • Niko Tsakiris 76' goal
  • Dave Romney 82' yellowcard
  • Ian Harkes 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ronaldo Vieira 59' (OG)
  • goal Tomás Chancalay 64'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 65'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 76'
  • yellowcard James Rodríguez 76'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 78'
  • yellowcard James Rodríguez 78'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Gonzalez 89'

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Minnesota United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%).

Result

San Jose Earthquakes 54.09%
Draw 22.25%
Minnesota United 23.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.1% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 17.9% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 61.81%
Under 2.5 38.19%
Over 3.5 41.49% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 58.51% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 26.55% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 73.45% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

San Jose Earthquakes 42.05%
Draw 37.26%
Minnesota United 20.69%

Team To Score First

San Jose Earthquakes 61.42%
No Goal 4.72%
Minnesota United 33.86%

Corners

Over 8 63.74% (-0.01)
Equal 8 9.96%
Under 8 26.3% (+0.02)
Over 9 53.12%
Equal 9 10.63%
Under 9 36.26% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 42.63% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 57.37% (+0.01)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 1.5 57.19% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 42.81% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 31.47%
Under 2.5 68.53%
Over 3.5 14.3% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 85.7% (+0.02)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 60.61%
Under 0.5 39.39%
Over 1.5 30.83% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.17% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.78% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.88% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.12% (+0.02)

Score analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 54.1%
Draw 22.25%
Minnesota United 23.67%
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.92% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 7.8%
3-1 @ 6.26%
3-0 @ 5% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 13.98%
Total : 54.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.72%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.32% (-0.02)
Total : 22.25%
Minnesota United
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-1 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.78%
1-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 23.67%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 1.30am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Earthquakes Stadium
  • Beau Leroux 61' yellowcard
  • Beau Leroux 61' yellowcard
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 32'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 32'
  • yellowcard Hassani Dotson 45'
  • yellowcard Hassani Dotson 45'
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 3.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Avaya Stadium
  • Ousseni Bouda 33' goal
  • Ousseni Bouda 33' goal
  • Carlos Gruezo 87' yellowcard
  • Carlos Gruezo 87' yellowcard
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 9'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 9'
  • goal Jefferson Abel Diaz Beleno 64'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 64'
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 79'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Abel Diaz Beleno 79'
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Alejandro Bran 25' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Bran 25' yellowcard
  • Tanner Beason 38' goal
  • Tanner Beason 38' goal
  • Joseph Rosales 59' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 59' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 68' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 68' yellowcard
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 75' goal
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 75' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 45'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 45'
  • yellowcard Preston Judd 79'
  • yellowcard Preston Judd 79'
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Teemu Pukki 56' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 56' goal
  • Kervin Arriaga 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kervin Arriaga 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Marie 82'
  • goal Paul Marie 82'
Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 3.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Stanford Stadium
  • Cade Cowell 16' goal
  • Cade Cowell 16' goal
  • Carlos Gruezo 31' yellowcard
  • Carlos Gruezo 31' yellowcard
  • goal Teemu Pukki 4'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 4'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Reynoso 39'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Reynoso 40'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 85'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 85'