Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%).