US Open Cup
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
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San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Phoenix Rising

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.35%. A win for Phoenix Rising has a probability of 22.86% and a draw has a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Phoenix Rising win is 0-1 (6.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.49%).

Result

San Jose Earthquakes 54.35%
Draw 22.74%
Phoenix Rising 22.86%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.75%
Under 1.5 21.25%
Over 2.5 56.53%
Under 2.5 43.47%
Over 3.5 34.44%
Under 3.5 65.56%
Over 4.5 21.3%
Under 4.5 78.7%

First Half Winner

San Jose Earthquakes 40.72%
Draw 38.44%
Phoenix Rising 20.83%

Team To Score First

San Jose Earthquakes 60.32%
No Goal 5.44%
Phoenix Rising 34.24%

Corners

Over 8 65.18%
Equal 8 10.29%
Under 8 24.52%
Over 9 54.07%
Equal 9 11.11%
Under 9 34.82%
Over 10.5 43.04%
Under 10.5 56.96%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 1.5 53.35%
Under 1.5 46.65%
Over 2.5 27.7%
Under 2.5 72.3%
Over 3.5 11.77%
Under 3.5 88.23%

Phoenix Rising Goals

Over 0.5 59.28%
Under 0.5 40.72%
Over 1.5 27.26%
Under 1.5 72.74%
Over 2.5 9.46%
Under 2.5 90.54%
Over 3.5 2.92%
Under 3.5 97.08%

Score analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 54.35%
Draw 22.75%
Phoenix Rising 22.86%
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.83%
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 5.37%
3-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 11.57%
Total : 54.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49%
0-0 @ 5.44%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.75%
Phoenix Rising
0-1 @ 6.02%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 22.86%