US Open Cup
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT PayPal Park
  • Nick Fernandez 3' goal
  • Jack Jasinski 23' goal
  • Beau Leroux 46' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 62' yellowcard
  • Reid Roberts 62' yellowcard
  • Niko Tsakiris 77' yellowcard
  • Jack Skahan 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard L. Biasi 46'
  • yellowcard Charlie Dennis 46'
  • yellowcard Gunnar Studenthofft 64'
  • yellowcard Anthony Manuel Capetillo Hernandez 65'
  • yellowcard Pape Mar Boye 77'

San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Phoenix Rising

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Phoenix Rising had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Phoenix Rising win was 0-1 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

San Jose Earthquakes 53.62% (-0.09)
Draw 23.01% (+0.07)
Phoenix Rising 23.43% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.5% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.33% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 21.67% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 55.73% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 44.27% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 33.92% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.08% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 20.85% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 79.15% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

San Jose Earthquakes 40.18% (-0.03)
Draw 38.78%
Phoenix Rising 21.04% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

San Jose Earthquakes 60.02% (-0.05)
No Goal 5.59% (+0.01)
Phoenix Rising 34.39% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.46% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.42% (+0.01)
Under 8 25.13% (+0.02)
Over 9 53.27% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 35.55% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 42.24% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 57.76% (+0.04)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 1.5 52.43% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 47.57% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 26.87% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 73.13% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 11.35% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 88.65% (+0.04)

Phoenix Rising Goals

Over 0.5 59.65% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 40.35% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 27.43% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 72.57% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 9.52% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.48% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.94% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.06% (-0.02)

Score analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 53.61%
Draw 23%
Phoenix Rising 23.43%
San Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.17% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.18% (-0.02)
Total : 53.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 23%
Phoenix Rising
0-1 @ 6.25% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.73% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.35% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.77% (+0.03)
Total : 23.43%