Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Phoenix Rising win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.85% and a win for Las Vegas Lights had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Phoenix Rising win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.31%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a Las Vegas Lights win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.