Club Friendlies 3
Feb 14, 2026 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Phoenix Rising Soccer Complex
  • goal 79'

Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Phoenix Rising

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 8.30am
Phoenix Rising 0 - 0 Charlotte FC

Las Vegas Lights

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Phoenix Rising win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.85% and a win for Las Vegas Lights had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Phoenix Rising win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.31%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a Las Vegas Lights win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Phoenix Rising 55.05% (-0.03)
Draw 25.85% (-0.03)
Las Vegas Lights 19.1% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.9% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.87% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.13% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.6% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 49.4% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 28.52% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.43% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.27% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.73% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Phoenix Rising 40.88% (+0.07)
Draw 43.18% (-0.12)
Las Vegas Lights 15.93% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Phoenix Rising 60.82% (-0.08)
No Goal 8.12% (-0.04)
Las Vegas Lights 31.06% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 56.84%
Equal 8 11.98% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.18% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.71%
Equal 9 12.13%
Under 9 43.16%
Over 10.5 33.48% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 66.52% (+0.01)

Phoenix Rising Goals

Over 1.5 51% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 49% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 24.99% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 75.01% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.05% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.95% (+0.02)

Las Vegas Lights Goals

Over 0.5 55.26% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 44.74% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 21.87% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 78.13% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 6.51% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 93.49% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.49% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.51% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Phoenix Rising 55.05%
Draw 25.84%
Las Vegas Lights 19.1%
Phoenix Rising
1-0 @ 11.84% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.31% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.34% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39%
Other @ 9.88% (-0.02)
Total : 55.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 25.84%
Las Vegas Lights
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.1% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.76%
1-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.32% (+0.03)
Total : 19.1%