US Open Cup
Apr 2, 2026 3.00am
1
2
ET Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park
  • Ryan Doghman 66' yellowcard
  • Ethan Zubak 66' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Sylla 73' yellowcard
  • Tyson Espy 84' yellowcard
  • A. Marinch 84' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Sylla 86' goal
  • Oliver Kurnik 106' yellowcard
  • goal Gunnar Studenthofft 35'
  • yellowcard Charlie Dennis 57'
  • yellowcard John Scearce 69'
  • yellowcard Darius Johnson 69'
  • yellowcard Collin Smith 69'
  • yellowcard Collin Smith 70'
  • yellowcard Darius Johnson 70'
  • yellowcard John Scearce 70'
  • yellowcard Hope Avayevu 85'
  • goal Aleksandar Vukovic 95'
  • yellowcard Jackson Gaydon 105'+2'

Orange County vs Phoenix Rising - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orange County

All competitions

Phoenix Rising

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orange County win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Phoenix Rising had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orange County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Phoenix Rising win was 0-1 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Orange County 47.08% (+0.04)
Draw 26.1% (-0.02)
Phoenix Rising 26.83% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.84% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.42% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.58% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 46.54% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 53.46% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 25.26% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.74% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.08% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.92% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Orange County 36.43%
Draw 43.13%
Phoenix Rising 20.44%

Team To Score First

Orange County 57.14% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.31% (-0.01)
Phoenix Rising 34.55% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 51.29% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.66% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.05% (-0.07)
Over 9 39.99% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.3% (+0.03)
Under 9 48.71% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 29.91% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 70.09% (-0.02)

Orange County Goals

Over 1.5 42.3% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.7% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.34%
Under 2.5 81.66%
Over 3.5 6.47% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.53% (+0.02)

Phoenix Rising Goals

Over 0.5 60.63% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.37% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 26.55% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.45% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 9.01%
Under 2.5 90.99%
Over 3.5 2.62%
Under 3.5 97.38%

Score analysis

Orange County 47.07%
Draw 26.1%
Phoenix Rising 26.84%
Orange County
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.21% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.39%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.42%
Total : 47.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 26.1%
Phoenix Rising
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.57% (+0.01)
Total : 26.84%