US Open Cup
Apr 2, 2026 3.00am
Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park

Orange County vs Phoenix Rising - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orange County

All competitions

Phoenix Rising

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Orange County win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Phoenix Rising has a probability of 26.84% and a draw has a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orange County win is 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Phoenix Rising win is 0-1 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result

Orange County 47.05%
Draw 26.12%
Phoenix Rising 26.84% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.4% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 28.6% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.53% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 53.47% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.25%
Under 3.5 74.75%
Over 4.5 14.07% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.93% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Orange County 36.43%
Draw 43.13%
Phoenix Rising 20.44%

Team To Score First

Orange County 57.18% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.32% (+0.01)
Phoenix Rising 34.5%

Corners

Over 8 51.24% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.65% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.11% (+0.04)
Over 9 39.96% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 48.76% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 29.89% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 70.11% (+0.04)

Orange County Goals

Over 1.5 42.29% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.71% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.34% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.66% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.48%
Under 3.5 93.52%

Phoenix Rising Goals

Over 0.5 60.61% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.39% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 26.54% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.46% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 9.01% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.99% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.62%
Under 3.5 97.38%

Score analysis

Orange County 47.05%
Draw 26.12%
Phoenix Rising 26.83%
Orange County
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8.39%
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 2.48%
Other @ 6.42%
Total : 47.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.32% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.12%
Phoenix Rising
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 26.83%