Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.04%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%).