Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.