Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.