Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 45%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.