Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.