US Open Cup
Apr 30, 2026 12.30am
Historic Crew Stadium

Columbus Crew vs One Knoxville - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

One Knoxville

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw has a probability of 22.38% and a win for One Knoxville has a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.47%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.76%) , while for a One Knoxville win it is 0-1 (5.74%).

Result

Columbus Crew 57.48% (-0.18)
Draw 22.38% (+0.02)
One Knoxville 20.15% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.56% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.36% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 22.64% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 53.89% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 46.11% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 30.83% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 69.18% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.32% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.68% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Columbus Crew 43.35%
Draw 37.75% (+0.01)
One Knoxville 18.9% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Columbus Crew 62.86% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.72% (-0.02)
One Knoxville 31.42% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.19% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.92% (-0.01)
Under 8 34.89%
Over 9 41.49% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.71% (-0.01)
Under 9 46.81% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 30.93% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 69.07% (-0.05)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 1.5 53.63% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 46.37% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 26.82% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 73.18% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 10.54% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.46% (+0.02)

One Knoxville Goals

Over 0.5 56.64% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 43.36% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 23.89% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 76.11% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 6.89% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 93.11% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.86% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Columbus Crew 57.48%
Draw 22.4%
One Knoxville 20.15%
Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 10.47% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.92% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 10.53% (-0.03)
Total : 57.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.4%
One Knoxville
0-1 @ 5.74% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.69% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.85% (+0.03)
Total : 20.15%