Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.