Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Red Bull Arena

New York Red Bulls vs Dallas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 12.30am
Cincinnati 2 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Dallas

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 3.30am
Seattle 2 - 1 Dallas
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Petar Musa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw has a probability of 25.07% and a win for Dallas has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a Dallas win it is 0-1 (6.5%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 50.73% (-0.38)
Draw 25.07% (+0.50)
Dallas 24.2% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.68% (-1.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.02% (-1.42)
Under 1.5 22.98% (+1.41)
Over 2.5 54.56% (-2.00)
Under 2.5 45.44% (+2.04)
Over 3.5 32.7% (-1.94)
Under 3.5 67.3% (+1.94)
Over 4.5 19.37% (-1.50)
Under 4.5 80.63% (+1.50)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 43.39%
Draw 36.5%
Dallas 20.12%

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 61.83% (-0.35)
No Goal 6.53% (+0.52)
Dallas 31.64% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 60.03%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 28.43%
Over 9 48.04%
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 39.97%
Over 10.5 36.66%
Under 10.5 63.34%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 49.98% (-1.39)
Under 1.5 50.02% (+1.39)
Over 2.5 24.89% (-1.31)
Under 2.5 75.11% (+1.30)
Over 3.5 10.39% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 89.61% (+0.83)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5 60.71% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 39.29% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 28.41% (-0.95)
Under 1.5 71.59% (+0.96)
Over 2.5 9.35% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 90.65% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 2.79% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 97.21% (+0.26)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 50.72%
Draw 25.06%
Dallas 24.2%
New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.93% (+0.58)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.86% (+0.24)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.19)
Other @ 10.21% (-0.81)
Total : 50.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 6.53% (+0.52)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.03)
Total : 25.06%
Dallas
0-1 @ 6.5% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.46% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.61% (-0.25)
Total : 24.2%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 7, 2026 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Julian Hall 94' goal
  • Andy Rojas 101' goal
  • goal Logan Farrington 21'
  • goal Anderson Julio 45'
  • yellowcard Samuel Sarver 80'
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
  • Emil Forsberg 30' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 30' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 54' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 54' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 58' yellowcard
  • Kyle Duncan 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Fraser 15'
  • yellowcard Liam Fraser 15'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Lletget 34'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Lletget 34'
  • goal Jesus Ferreira 59'
  • goal Jesus Ferreira 59'
Major League Soccer
Apr 17, 2022 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 31' yellowcard
  • Tom Edwards 79' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brandon Servania 61'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 33
Aug 2, 2020 12.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 13
May 11, 2019 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
  • Jesus Ferreira 45' goal
  • goal Cristian Casseres 12'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 45'
  • goal Sean Nealis 58'
  • goal Brian White 85'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 18
Jun 23, 2018 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
  • Bradley Wright-Phillips 23' goal
  • Daniel Royer 27' redcard
  • Aaron Long 39' goal
  • Kemar Lawrence 48' goal
  • yellowcard Reto Ziegler 72'
  • redcard Reto Ziegler 90'