Major League Soccer
May 9, 2026 7.30pm
Soldier Field

Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 2 - 3 Cincinnati
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 0 - 2 Dallas
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 26.41% and a draw has a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 1-2 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.55%).

Result

Chicago Fire 50.61% (+0.04)
Draw 22.98% (-0.01)
New York Red Bulls 26.41% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.17% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.23% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.77% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.7%
Under 2.5 41.3%
Over 3.5 36.14%
Under 3.5 63.86%
Over 4.5 22.06% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.94% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Chicago Fire 42.22% (+0.01)
Draw 35.52%
New York Red Bulls 22.26%

Team To Score First

Chicago Fire 56.5% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.97%
New York Red Bulls 38.53% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.53% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 25.56% (+0.04)
Over 9 51.9% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.47% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 40.55% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 59.45% (+0.04)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 1.5 51.86% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.14% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 26.14% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.86% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.33% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.67% (+0.02)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 63.14% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.86% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.23% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.77% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.9% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.1% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.67%
Under 3.5 96.33%

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 50.62%
Draw 22.98%
New York Red Bulls 26.4%
Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.77%
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.05% (-0.01)
Total : 50.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.98%
New York Red Bulls
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.96% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.45% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 26.4%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Jul 27, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Serge Ngoma 41' goal
  • Serge Ngoma 41' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 45'+2' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 45'+2' goal
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 32'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 32'
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Chris Mueller 16' yellowcard
  • Chris Mueller 16' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 31' goal
  • Tom Barlow 31' goal
  • Ariel Lassiter 57' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 57' yellowcard
  • Georgios Koutsias 75' goal
  • Georgios Koutsias 75' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 87' yellowcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 87' yellowcard
  • goal Dennis Gjengaar 47'
  • goal Dennis Gjengaar 47'
  • yellowcard Dante Vanzeir 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Dante Vanzeir 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Andres Reyes 42' redcard
  • Andres Reyes 42' redcard
  • yellowcard Kellyn Acosta 55'
  • yellowcard Kellyn Acosta 55'
  • yellowcard Rafael Czichos 75'
  • yellowcard Rafael Czichos 75'
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Hassan Ndam 49' yellowcard
  • Hassan Ndam 49' yellowcard
  • Hassan Ndam 62' redcard
  • Hassan Ndam 62' redcard
  • John Tolkin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • John Tolkin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousmane Doumbia 17'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Doumbia 17'
  • yellowcard Georgios Koutsias 59'
  • yellowcard Georgios Koutsias 59'
  • goal Georgios Koutsias 64'
  • goal Georgios Koutsias 64'
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 82'
  • yellowcard Chris Brady 82'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Dean 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2023 1.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Toyota Park
  • Kei Kamara 34' goal
  • goal Cory Burke 89'