Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 1.30am
Soldier Field

Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 5 - 0 Kansas
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 12.30am
Cincinnati 2 - 0 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 26.72% and a draw has a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.93%).

Result

Chicago Fire 49.58%
Draw 23.67%
FC Cincinnati 26.72% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.04%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.05% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 16.95% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 63.14%
Under 2.5 36.86%
Over 3.5 41.01%
Under 3.5 58.99%
Over 4.5 25.55%
Under 4.5 74.45%

First Half Winner

Chicago Fire 40.88%
Draw 36.9%
FC Cincinnati 22.22%

Team To Score First

Chicago Fire 57.8%
No Goal 4.51%
FC Cincinnati 37.69%

Corners

Over 8 61.23%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 27.23%
Over 9 49.11%
Equal 9 12.12%
Under 9 38.77%
Over 10.5 37.51%
Under 10.5 62.49%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 1.5 54.28%
Under 1.5 45.72%
Over 2.5 28.43% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 71.57% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.68%
Under 3.5 87.32%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 65.26% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 34.74% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 34.72% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.28% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.92%
Under 2.5 86.08%
Over 3.5 4.71% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.29% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 49.57%
Draw 23.67%
FC Cincinnati 26.71%
Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 12.18%
Total : 49.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93%
2-2 @ 6.72%
0-0 @ 4.51%
3-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 23.67%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.21% (-0.01)
Total : 26.71%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2026 12.30am
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT TQL Stadium
  • Tom Barlow 42' goal
  • Teenage Hadebe 46' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 64' yellowcard
  • Gerardo Valenzuela 70' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Jabbari 70' yellowcard
  • Evander 79' yellowcard
  • Djé D'Avilla 86' goal
  • Kyle Smith 86' yellowcard
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 26'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 48'
  • yellowcard Philip Zinckernagel 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 73'
  • yellowcard Dylan Borso 83'
  • yellowcard P. Dithejane 83'
  • yellowcard P. Dithejane 84'
  • yellowcard Viktor Radojević 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2025 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025 1.30am
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Soldier Field
  • Hugo Cuypers 31' goal
  • Brian Gutierrez 85' goal
  • Kellyn Acosta 88' yellowcard
  • goal Evander 9'
  • goal Kevin Denkey 42'
  • yellowcard Kevin Denkey 42'
  • goal Evander 71'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Pat Noonan 72' yellowcard
  • Pat Noonan 72' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 88' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 88' redcard
  • Alvas Powell 88' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 88' redcard
  • DeAndre Yedlin 89' yellowcard
  • Pat Noonan 90'+6' redcard
  • Pat Noonan 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 35'
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 35'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cuypers 58'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cuypers 58'
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 70'
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 70'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 89'
  • yellowcard Georgios Koutsias 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Georgios Koutsias 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Soldier Field
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 45' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 45' goal
  • Kellyn Acosta 55' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 55' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pineda 66' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pineda 66' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 39'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 39'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 43'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 43'
  • goal Miles Robinson 68'
  • goal Miles Robinson 68'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 81'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 81'
  • yellowcard Corey Baird 84'
  • yellowcard Corey Baird 84'
Major League Soccer
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luciano Acosta 83' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 83' goal