Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 53.91%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.