Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.45% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%) , while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (4.55%).