Major League Soccer
Apr 4, 2026 9.30pm
America First Field

Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 11.00pm
San Diego 2 - 2 Salt Lake
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Aiden Hezarkhani

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 12.30am
Kansas 1 - 4 Colorado
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Dejan Joveljić

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 59.18%. A win for Sporting Kansas City has a probability of 20.51% and a draw has a probability of 20.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.74%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win is 1-2 (5.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.67%).

Result

Real Salt Lake 59.18% (-0.08)
Draw 20.28%
Sporting Kansas City 20.51% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.79% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.13% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 14.87% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 66.34% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 33.63% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 44.74% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 55.26% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 29.79% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 70.21% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Real Salt Lake 45%
Draw 35.48%
Sporting Kansas City 19.52%

Team To Score First

Real Salt Lake 63.21% (+0.03)
No Goal 3.51% (-0.04)
Sporting Kansas City 33.28% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 70.37% (-0.04)
Equal 8 9.58% (-0.01)
Under 8 20.04% (+0.03)
Over 9 59.55% (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.82% (-0.01)
Under 9 29.63% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 48.35% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 51.65% (+0.01)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 1.5 62.18% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 37.82% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 36.39% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 63.61% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 17.77% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 82.23% (-0.09)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5 58.23% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 41.77% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 29.18% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 70.82% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 11.24% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 88.76% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 3.78% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.22% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Real Salt Lake 59.19%
Draw 20.28%
Sporting Kansas City 20.51%
Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.82%
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.4% (+0.04)
Other @ 17.4% (+0.08)
Total : 59.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.67% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.81% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.37% (+0.03)
Total : 20.28%
Sporting Kansas City
1-2 @ 5.26%
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.41% (+0.08)
Total : 20.51%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 14, 2025 2.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
3
4
HT : 2 4
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Stephen Afrifa 28' goal
  • Stephen Afrifa 28' goal
  • William Agade 70' goal
  • William Agade 70' goal
  • Zorhan Bassong 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Zorhan Bassong 90'+2' yellowcard
  • William Agade 90'+5' goal
  • William Agade 90'+5' goal
  • goal Andres Gomez 14'
  • goal Andres Gomez 14'
  • goal Anderson Julio 33'
  • goal Anderson Julio 33'
  • goal Andres Gomez 51'
  • goal Andres Gomez 51'
  • yellowcard Brayan Vera 77'
  • yellowcard Brayan Vera 77'
  • goal Matt Crooks 84'
  • goal Matt Crooks 84'
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 2.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Emeka Eneli 14' yellowcard
  • Emeka Eneli 14' yellowcard
  • Brayan Vera 47' yellowcard
  • Brayan Vera 47' yellowcard
  • Cristian Arango 81' goal
  • Cristian Arango 81' goal
  • Cristian Arango 90' yellowcard
  • Cristian Arango 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Memo Rodriguez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Memo Rodriguez 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 2.30am
2
3
HT : 0 4
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Justen Glad 3' redcard
  • Justen Glad 3' redcard
  • Brayan Vera 57' yellowcard
  • Brayan Vera 58' yellowcard
  • Brayan Vera 81' goal
  • Brayan Vera 81' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 89' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 89' goal
  • Zac MacMath 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Zac MacMath 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Erik Thommy 4'
  • goal Erik Thommy 4'
  • goal Johnny Russell 29'
  • goal Johnny Russell 29'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 38'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 38'
  • goal Alan Pulido 77'
  • goal Alan Pulido 77'
  • yellowcard Tim Melia 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Tim Melia 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Daniel Salloi 30' goal
  • Daniel Salloi 30' goal
  • Johnny Russell 36' goal
  • Johnny Russell 36' goal
  • goal Daniel Musovski 46'
  • goal Daniel Musovski 46'
  • goal Anderson Julio 72'
  • goal Anderson Julio 72'