Premier League Gameweek 37
May 18, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Kai Havertz 37' goal
  • Piero Hincapié 72' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyökeres 73' yellowcard
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly 73' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Martín Zubimendi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zeki Amdouni 70'
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 71'
  • yellowcard James Ward-Prowse 78'
  • yellowcard Jacob Bruun Larsen 82'
  • yellowcard Bashir Humphreys 82'
  • yellowcard Jacob Bruun Larsen 83'
  • yellowcard Bashir Humphreys 83'

Arsenal vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 4.30pm
West Ham 0 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 2.00pm
Burnley 2 - 2 Aston Villa
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 75.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.75% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 8.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.83%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%) , while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal 75.15%
Draw 16.75%
Burnley 8.11% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.2% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.38% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 23.62% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 53.1% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.66%
Under 3.5 68.34%
Over 4.5 22.63% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.37% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Arsenal 59.38%
Draw 30.56%
Burnley 10.06%

Team To Score First

Arsenal 77.36%
No Goal 6.35%
Burnley 16.29%

Corners

Over 8 55.95%
Equal 8 11.44%
Under 8 32.61%
Over 9 44.46%
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 44.05%
Over 10.5 33.84%
Under 10.5 66.16%

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 64.75% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 35.25% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 38.33% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 61.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 19.43% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 80.57% (+0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 35.41% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 64.59% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 9.6% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 90.4% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 1.83% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 98.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.3% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.7% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Arsenal 75.17%
Draw 16.75%
Burnley 8.1%
Arsenal
2-0 @ 14.77% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 13.83% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 10.28% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.16% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 19.38%
Total : 75.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.48%
0-0 @ 6.35%
2-2 @ 2.45% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 16.75%
Burnley
0-1 @ 3.46%
1-2 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.25% (-0.02)
Total : 8.1%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Turf Moor
  • Aaron Ramsey 7' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 39' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Odegaard 4'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 41'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 47'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 45'+2'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 66'
  • goal Kai Havertz 78'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Leandro Trossard 45'+1' goal
  • William Saliba 57' goal
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 74' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 83' redcard
  • goal Josh Brownhill 54'
  • yellowcard Johann Berg Gudmundsson 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 25'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 30'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ashley Barnes 19' yellowcard
  • Ashley Westwood 29' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Odegaard 30'
  • yellowcard Nuno Tavares 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 6, 2021 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Chris Wood 39' goal
  • Erik Pieters 71' yellowcard
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 6'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 55'

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