Premier League Gameweek 37
May 18, 2026 8.00pm
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 4.30pm
West Ham 0 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 2.00pm
Burnley 2 - 2 Aston Villa
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 77.49%. A draw has a probability of 15.68% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 6.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 2-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (14.39%) and 3-0 (10.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.08%) , while for a Burnley win it is 0-1 (3.15%).

Result

Arsenal 77.49%
Draw 15.68%
Burnley 6.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

38.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.25%
Under 1.5 23.75%
Over 2.5 53%
Under 2.5 47%
Over 3.5 32.16%
Under 3.5 67.84%
Over 4.5 23.85%
Under 4.5 76.15%

First Half Winner

Arsenal 59.46%
Draw 31.01%
Burnley 9.53%

Team To Score First

Arsenal 78.7%
No Goal 6.21%
Burnley 15.09%

Corners

Over 8 56.84%
Equal 8 12.22%
Under 8 30.94%
Over 9 44.45%
Equal 9 12.39%
Under 9 43.16%
Over 10.5 33.02%
Under 10.5 66.98%

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 65.92%
Under 1.5 34.08%
Over 2.5 39.83%
Under 2.5 60.17%
Over 3.5 21.09%
Under 3.5 78.91%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 32.49%
Under 0.5 67.51%
Over 1.5 7.93%
Under 1.5 92.07%
Over 2.5 1.26%
Under 2.5 98.74%
Over 3.5 0.19%
Under 3.5 99.81%

Score analysis

Arsenal 77.49%
Draw 15.7%
Burnley 6.81%
Arsenal
2-0 @ 15.18%
1-0 @ 14.39%
3-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 21.08%
Total : 77.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.08%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 15.7%
Burnley
0-1 @ 3.15%
1-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 6.81%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Turf Moor
  • Aaron Ramsey 7' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 39' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Odegaard 4'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 41'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 47'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 45'+2'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 66'
  • goal Kai Havertz 78'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Leandro Trossard 45'+1' goal
  • William Saliba 57' goal
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 74' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 83' redcard
  • goal Josh Brownhill 54'
  • yellowcard Johann Berg Gudmundsson 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 25'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 30'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ashley Barnes 19' yellowcard
  • Ashley Westwood 29' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Odegaard 30'
  • yellowcard Nuno Tavares 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 6, 2021 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Chris Wood 39' goal
  • Erik Pieters 71' yellowcard
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 6'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 55'