Champions League
Atletico
Apr 29, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Arsenal
  • Robin Le Normand 46' yellowcard
  • Julián Alvarez 56' yellowcard
  • Julián Alvarez 57' yellowcard
  • Álex Baena 77' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyökeres 44'
  • yellowcard Eberechi Eze 58'
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 68'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 68'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 69'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 86'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 87'

Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Result
Team News
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Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Arsenal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Madrid 33.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.05%
Arsenal 42.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.74% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 41.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 35.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 64.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.7% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 27.53%
Draw 41.43%
Arsenal 31.05%

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 45.79%
No Goal 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Arsenal 49.01% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 49.57%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 38.86%
Over 9 38.52%
Equal 9 11.05%
Under 9 50.43%
Over 10.5 28.77%
Under 10.5 71.23%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 38.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 75.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 45.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 8.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.75% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 33.51%
Draw 24.05%
Arsenal 42.47%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.95%
2-0 @ 4.83%
3-1 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.43%
Other @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 33.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.05%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8%
0-2 @ 6.35%
1-3 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32%
Other @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.47%

Head to Head

Champions League
Arsenal
Oct 21, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
LIVE
Atletico
Pre-Season Friendlies
Arsenal
Jul 26, 2018 12.35pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT National Stadium
Atletico
  • Emile Smith Rowe 47' goal
  • Calum Chambers 81' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Vietto 41'
Europa League
Atletico
May 3, 2018 8.05pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano (Madrid)
Arsenal
  • Diego Costa 45' goal
  • Gabi 52' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 71' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Wilshere 42'
  • yellowcard Nacho Monreal 59'
  • yellowcard Shkodran Mustafi 78'

Form Data

Atletico 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Elche 3 - 2 Atletico
Atletico 2 - 2 Real Sociedad
Atletico 1 - 2 Barcelona
Sevilla 2 - 1 Atletico
Barcelona 0 - 2 Atletico
Arsenal 1 - 0 Newcastle
Man City 2 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 0 - 0 Sporting Lisbon
Arsenal 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 1 Arsenal
Southampton 2 - 1 Arsenal

Build-up

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