Champions League
Apr 14, 2026 8.00pm
Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 8.00pm
Barcelona 0 - 2 Atletico

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 8.00pm
Barcelona 0 - 2 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 38.32% and a draw has a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.64%) and 0-2 (4.9%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 2-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.13%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 38.32%
Draw 22.37%
Barcelona 39.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.25% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.35% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 14.65% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 66.78% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 33.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 45.89% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 54.11% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 29.8% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 70.2% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 33.52%
Draw 37.67%
Barcelona 28.82%

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 50.36%
No Goal 3.4%
Barcelona 46.24%

Corners

Over 8 58.56% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.5% (+0.01)
Under 8 30.94% (+0.02)
Over 9 47.79% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.77% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.44% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 37.58% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 62.42% (+0.04)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 46.6% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.4% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.51% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 76.49% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 9.68% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.32% (-0.04)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 74.67%
Under 0.5 25.33%
Over 1.5 47.57% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 52.43% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 23.91% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.09% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 10.1% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.9% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 38.32%
Draw 22.37%
Barcelona 39.32%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.7%
1-0 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 2.67%
Other @ 9.11% (+0.03)
Total : 38.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.13% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.79%
0-0 @ 3.4%
3-3 @ 2.48%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.37%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 7.92% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.06%
0-3 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.53% (+0.01)
Total : 39.32%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 8, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Camp Nou
  • Fermín López 46' yellowcard
  • Gavi 46' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 73' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 73' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Balde 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Pubill 31'
  • yellowcard Marc Pubill 32'
  • goal Julián Alvarez 45'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 60'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 60'
  • goal Alexander Sørloth 70'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 80'
  • yellowcard Nico González 80'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Giuliano Simeone 39' goal
  • Matteo Ruggeri 46' yellowcard
  • José María Giménez 61' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 61' yellowcard
  • Javi Morcillo 61' yellowcard
  • Taufik Seidu 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal 40'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 42'
  • yellowcard Ferran Torres 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Jules Koundé 62'
  • yellowcard Gavi 78'
  • yellowcard Gavi 79'
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 79'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 87'
Copa del Rey
Mar 3, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Camp Nou
  • Alejandro Balde 13' yellowcard
  • Marc Bernal 29' goal
  • Raphinha 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 64' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 64' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 71' yellowcard
  • Marc Bernal 72' goal
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 58'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 58'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 69'
  • yellowcard José María Giménez 76'
Copa del Rey
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 6 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Eric Garcia 6' goal
  • Eric García 7' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 14' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 33' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 45'+2' goal
  • Julián Alvarez 45'+2' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Baena 68' yellowcard
  • Álex Baena 68' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 68' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 73' yellowcard
  • Robin Le Normand 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 37'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 77'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 77'
  • yellowcard João Cancelo 77'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martin Langreo 87'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martín 87'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martin Langreo 88'
La Liga
Dec 2, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Raphinha 26' goal
  • Gerard Martin Langreo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 65' goal
  • Ferran Torres 90'+6' goal
  • goal Alex Baena 19'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 41'
Copa del Rey
Apr 2, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 6' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 9' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 13' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 31' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 59' yellowcard
  • goal Ferran Torres 27'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 35'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 68'