Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.48% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%) , while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.