La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 7, 2026 5.30pm
Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
Real Oviedo 0 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm
Mallorca 0 - 1 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Goncalo Guedes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw has a probability of 22.19% and a win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.4%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.53%) , while for a Real Sociedad win it is 0-1 (5.2%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 59.19% (+0.08)
Draw 22.19% (+0.07)
Real Sociedad 18.65% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.7% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.41% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 21.59% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 55.45% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 44.55% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 32.82% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 67.18% (+0.39)
Over 4.5 19.98% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 80.02% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 43.65%
Draw 37.03%
Real Sociedad 19.32%

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 61.04% (-0.07)
No Goal 5.57% (+0.11)
Real Sociedad 33.39% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.88% (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.86% (-0.03)
Under 8 30.26% (+0.08)
Over 9 47.72% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.16% (-0.02)
Under 9 41.12% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 37.16% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 62.84% (-0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 56.04% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 43.96% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 29.17% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 70.83% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 12.41% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 87.59% (+0.16)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 55.14% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 44.86% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 22.83% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 77.17% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 7.06% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 92.94% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.8% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.2% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 59.18%
Draw 22.21%
Real Sociedad 18.65%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.86% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 10.4% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.9% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 6.29% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.03)
Other @ 12.28% (-0.15)
Total : 59.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.57% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 22.21%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 5.2% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.67% (-0.04)
Total : 18.65%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 4, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Anoeta Stadium
  • Gonçalo Guedes 55' goal
  • Pablo Marín 72' yellowcard
  • Ander Barrenetxea 72' yellowcard
  • Orri Óskarsson 88' yellowcard
  • Arsen Zakharyan 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Gallagher 46'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 46'
  • goal Alexander Sørloth 50'
  • yellowcard Johnny Cardoso 60'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 60'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Raspadori 72'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 10, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Alexander Sorloth 7' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 10' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 11' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 30' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Barrenetxea 54'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
  • Luka Sucic 84' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 1'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 55'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 80'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 88'
La Liga Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 3.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Reale Arena
  • Jon Pacheco 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Brais Mendez 57' yellowcard
  • Jon Ander Olasagasti 90' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Lino 9'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 41'
  • yellowcard Koke 45'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 80'
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 87'
  • redcard Saul Niguez 90'+1'
  • goal Reinildo Mandava 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Samuel Lino 22' goal
  • Koke 48' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 89' goal
  • Javi Galan 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 15'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 73'
  • yellowcard Hamari Traore 86'
  • yellowcard Carlos Fernandez 87'
Club Friendlies 1
Aug 3, 2023 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer
  • Mario Hermoso 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 14'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 33'
  • yellowcard Jon Pacheco 54'
  • yellowcard Jon Pacheco 54'+54'