Mar 7, 2026 5.30pm

3

2

HT : 1 1

FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Alexander Sørloth 5'
Marcos Llorente 45'
Marcos Llorente 46'
Julián Alvarez 53'
Antoine Griezmann 53'
Nico González 54'
Antoine Griezmann 54'
Johnny Cardoso 61'
Nico González 67'
Nico González 81'

Carlos Soler 9'
Pablo Marín 55'
Gonçalo Guedes 55'
Mikel Oyarzabal 56'
Arsen Zakharyan 65'
Mikel Oyarzabal 68'
Brais Méndez 74'
Beñat Turrientes 74'

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Atletico vs Real Sociedad - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Atletico vs Real Sociedad - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 05 Mar 2026 17:12

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

L
W
W
W
D
L

La Liga

W
W
L
L
D
W

Last game

Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm

Real Oviedo 0 - 1 Atletico

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Alexander Sørloth

Real Sociedad

All competitions

W
W
D
L
W
W

La Liga

W
D
L
W
D
W

Last game

Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm

Mallorca 0 - 1 Real Sociedad

Goals scored

44

Top scorer

Goncalo Guedes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.19% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.4%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Madrid 59.22% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 22.19%

Real Sociedad 18.58% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score:

52.57% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.28% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 1.5 21.72% ▲ (+0.13)

Over 2.5 55.32% ▼ (-0.14)

Under 2.5 44.68% ▲ (+0.14)

Over 3.5 32.69% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 3.5 67.31% ▲ (+0.13)

Over 4.5 19.89% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 4.5 80.11% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 43.65%

Draw 37.03%

Real Sociedad 19.32%

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 61.02% ▼ (-0.02)

No Goal 5.6% ▲ (+0.03)

Real Sociedad 33.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.88%

Equal 8 10.86%

Under 8 30.26%

Over 9 47.72%

Equal 9 11.16%

Under 9 41.12%

Over 10.5 37.16%

Under 10.5 62.84%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 55.97% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 1.5 44.03% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 2.5 29.11% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 2.5 70.89% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 12.39% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 87.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 54.99% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 0.5 45.01% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 1.5 22.71% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 1.5 77.29% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 2.5 7% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 2.5 93% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 3.5 1.78% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 98.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 59.22%

Draw 22.2%

Real Sociedad 18.58%

Atletico Madrid

1-0 @ 10.92% ▲ (+0.03)

2-1 @ 10.4% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.04)

3-0 @ 6.3%

3-1 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 12.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 59.22%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.52%

0-0 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.03)

2-2 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.02)

3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.13%

Total : 22.2%

Real Sociedad

0-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.01)

1-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 18.58%

Head to Head

Jan 4, 2026 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Anoeta Stadium

Gonçalo Guedes 55'
Pablo Marín 72'
Ander Barrenetxea 72'
Orri Óskarsson 88'
Arsen Zakharyan 89'

Conor Gallagher 46'
Robin Le Normand 46'
Alexander Sørloth 50'
Johnny Cardoso 60'
Antoine Griezmann 60'
Giacomo Raspadori 72'

May 10, 2025 8.00pm

4

0

HT : 4 0

FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Alexander Sorloth 7'
Alexander Sorloth 10'
Alexander Sorloth 11'
Alexander Sorloth 30'

Ander Barrenetxea 54'

Oct 6, 2024 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Reale Arena

Luka Sucic 84'

Julian Alvarez 1'
Clement Lenglet 55'
Javi Galan 80'
Diego Simeone 88'

May 25, 2024 3.15pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Reale Arena

Jon Pacheco 45'+2'
Brais Mendez 57'
Jon Ander Olasagasti 90'

Samuel Lino 9'
Arthur Vermeeren 41'
Koke 45'
Saul Niguez 80'
Reinildo Mandava 87'
Saul Niguez 90'+1'
Reinildo Mandava 90'+3'

Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Samuel Lino 22'
Koke 48'
Antoine Griezmann 89'
Javi Galan 90'+6'
Antoine Griezmann 90'+6'

Robin Le Normand 15'
Mikel Oyarzabal 73'
Hamari Traore 86'
Carlos Fernandez 87'

Aug 3, 2023 2.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Mario Hermoso 33'

Igor Zubeldia 14'
Robin Le Normand 33'
Jon Pacheco 54'
Jon Pacheco 54'+54'

Form Data

Barcelona 3 - 0 Atletico

Real Oviedo 0 - 1 Atletico

Atletico 4 - 1 Brugge

Atletico 4 - 2 Espanyol

Brugge 3 - 3 Atletico

Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 Atletico

Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao

Mallorca 0 - 1 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad 3 - 3 Real Oviedo

Real Madrid 4 - 1 Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Elche