Champions League
Mar 18, 2026 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Randal Kolo Muani 30' goal
  • Xavi Simons 52' goal
  • Destiny Udogie  66' yellowcard
  • Lucas Bergvall  73' yellowcard
  • Lucas Bergvall  74' yellowcard
  • Callum Olusesi 81' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 81' yellowcard
  • Kevin Danso 81' yellowcard
  • Xavi Simons 90' yellowcard
  • Xavi Simons 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Julián Alvarez 47'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 63'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 63'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 64'
  • yellowcard Koke  64'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 64'
  • goal Dávid Hancko 75'
  • yellowcard Nico González 84'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 84'
  • yellowcard José María Giménez 87'

Tottenham Hotspur vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 5 - 2 Spurs

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 5 - 2 Spurs

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 (6.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Tottenham Hotspur 25.46% (+0.04)
Draw 23.1% (+0.05)
Atletico Madrid 51.48% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.37% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.29% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 21.71% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 55.59% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 44.41% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 33.1% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 66.9% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 19.73% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 80.27% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Tottenham Hotspur 25.74%
Draw 38.26%
Atletico Madrid 36%

Team To Score First

Tottenham Hotspur 38.82% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.69% (+0.05)
Atletico Madrid 55.49% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.6% (+0.50)
Equal 8 10.66% (+0.19)
Under 8 27.74% (-0.69)
Over 9 50.41% (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.19% (+0.25)
Under 9 38.4% (-0.50)
Over 10.5 39.6% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 60.4% (-0.01)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 1.5 29.09% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.91% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.55% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.45% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.2% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.8% (+0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 79.76% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 20.24% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 50.58% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 49.42% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 24.98% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 75.02% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 10.2% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 89.8% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 25.46%
Draw 23.1%
Atletico Madrid 51.48%
Tottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 6.31% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.3% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.64% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.07% (-0.02)
Total : 25.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64%
0-0 @ 5.69% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.1%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 9.75% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 8.42% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.07% (-0.08)
Total : 51.48%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 10, 2026 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 4 1
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Marcos Llorente 6' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 14' goal
  • Julián Alvarez 15' goal
  • Robin Le Normand 22' goal
  • Julián Alvarez 55' goal
  • Pablo Barrios 68' yellowcard
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 69' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 69' yellowcard
  • Pablo Barrios 69' yellowcard
  • Nico González 73' yellowcard
  • Koke  81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guglielmo Vicario 17'
  • goal Pedro Porro  26'
  • yellowcard Conor Gallagher 46'
  • yellowcard Dominic Solanke 46'
  • yellowcard João Palhinha 68'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 76'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 83'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 29, 2016 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • goal Diego Godin 40'

Build-up

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