Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 (6.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.