Champions League
Apr 8, 2026 8.00pm
Camp Nou

Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw has a probability of 18.56% and a win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 17.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.22%) and 3-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.79%) , while for a Atletico Madrid win it is 1-2 (4.42%).

Result

Barcelona 63.9% (-1.04)
Draw 18.56% (+0.17)
Atletico Madrid 17.54% (+0.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.57% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.15% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 13.85% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 67.99% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 32.01% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 46.82% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 53.18% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 32.19% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 67.81% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Barcelona 46.06%
Draw 34.13%
Atletico Madrid 19.8%

Team To Score First

Barcelona 64.44% (+0.01)
No Goal 3.3% (-0.03)
Atletico Madrid 32.26% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 71.1% (-0.36)
Equal 8 8.89% (+0.04)
Under 8 20.01% (+0.33)
Over 9 61.07% (-0.34)
Equal 9 10.03%
Under 9 28.9% (+0.35)
Over 10.5 50.6% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 49.4% (+0.33)

Barcelona Goals

Over 1.5 66.55% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 33.45% (+0.75)
Over 2.5 41.22% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 58.78% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 20.88% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 79.12% (+0.41)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 53.94% (+0.87)
Under 0.5 46.06% (-0.87)
Over 1.5 25.96% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 74.04% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 9.57% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 90.43% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 3.33% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 96.67% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Barcelona 63.9%
Draw 18.56%
Atletico Madrid 17.54%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 6.98% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
Other @ 20.49% (-0.41)
Total : 63.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.79% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.39% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.3% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.56%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 4.42% (+0.16)
0-1 @ 3.48% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.15% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.99% (+0.13)
Other @ 2.94% (+0.20)
Total : 17.54%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Giuliano Simeone 39' goal
  • Matteo Ruggeri 46' yellowcard
  • José María Giménez 61' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 61' yellowcard
  • Javi Morcillo 61' yellowcard
  • Taufik Seidu 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal 40'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 42'
  • yellowcard Ferran Torres 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Jules Koundé 62'
  • yellowcard Gavi 78'
  • yellowcard Gavi 79'
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 79'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 87'
Copa del Rey
Mar 3, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Camp Nou
  • Alejandro Balde 13' yellowcard
  • Marc Bernal 29' goal
  • Raphinha 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 64' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 64' yellowcard
  • Ronald Araujo 71' yellowcard
  • Marc Bernal 72' goal
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 58'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 58'
  • yellowcard Álex Baena 69'
  • yellowcard José María Giménez 76'
Copa del Rey
Feb 12, 2026 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 6 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Eric Garcia 6' goal
  • Eric García 7' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 14' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 33' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 45'+2' goal
  • Julián Alvarez 45'+2' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Baena 68' yellowcard
  • Álex Baena 68' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sørloth 68' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 73' yellowcard
  • Robin Le Normand 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 37'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 77'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 77'
  • yellowcard João Cancelo 77'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martin Langreo 87'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martín 87'
  • yellowcard Gerard Martin Langreo 88'
La Liga
Dec 2, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Raphinha 26' goal
  • Gerard Martin Langreo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 65' goal
  • Ferran Torres 90'+6' goal
  • goal Alex Baena 19'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 41'
Copa del Rey
Apr 2, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 6' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 9' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 13' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 31' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 59' yellowcard
  • goal Ferran Torres 27'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 35'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 68'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Reinildo Mandava 36' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 45' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 70' goal
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 26'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Balde 64'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 72'
  • goal Ferran Torres 78'
  • goal Lamine Yamal 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lamine Yamal 90'+3'
  • goal Ferran Torres 90'+8'