Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.66% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%) , while for a Atletico Madrid win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.