Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw has a probability of 17.39% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 10.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.71%) , while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 0-1 (3.4%).