La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 22, 2026 1.00pm
Camp Nou

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 3.15pm
Barcelona 5 - 2 Sevilla
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Lamine Yamal

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2026 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Levante
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw has a probability of 17.39% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.71%) , while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 0-1 (3.4%).

Result

Barcelona 71.91%
Draw 17.39%
Rayo Vallecano 10.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.55%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.13% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 18.87% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 60.45%
Under 2.5 39.55%
Over 3.5 39.91%
Under 3.5 60.09%
Over 4.5 28.45%
Under 4.5 71.55%

First Half Winner

Barcelona 46.34%
Draw 34.87%
Rayo Vallecano 18.79%

Team To Score First

Barcelona 63.65%
No Goal 4.95%
Rayo Vallecano 31.4%

Corners

Over 8 66.72%
Equal 8 9.07%
Under 8 24.21%
Over 9 56.81%
Equal 9 9.9%
Under 9 33.28%
Over 10.5 46.76%
Under 10.5 53.24%

Barcelona Goals

Over 1.5 67.19% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 32.81% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 41.89%
Under 2.5 58.11%
Over 3.5 22.29% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 77.71% (+0.02)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 42% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 58% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 15.18% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 84.82% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 4.26% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 95.74% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.21% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.79% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Barcelona 71.91%
Draw 17.39%
Rayo Vallecano 10.71%
Barcelona
2-0 @ 11.58% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.94%
3-0 @ 8.81%
3-1 @ 6.77% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 22.14% (-0.04)
Total : 71.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.71%
0-0 @ 4.95%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 17.39%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 3.4%
1-2 @ 2.7%
0-2 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.08%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Total : 10.71%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 31, 2025 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 17, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Robert Lewandowski 28' goal
  • Gavi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 27'
  • yellowcard Andrei Ratiu 41'
  • yellowcard Adri Embarba 87'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2024 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Unai Lopez 9' goal
  • Isi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Abdul Mumin 71' yellowcard
  • Pathe Ciss 88' yellowcard
  • goal Pedri 60'
  • goal Dani Olmo 82'
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal Casas 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Robert Lewandowski 3' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 10' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 31' yellowcard
  • Pau Cubarsi 37' yellowcard
  • Pedri 72' goal
  • Pedri 75' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdul Mumin 23'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 50'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Unai Lopez 39' goal
  • Alfonso Espino 64' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 69' yellowcard
  • Radamel Falcao 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedri 31'
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 51'
  • goal Florian Lejeune 82' (OG)
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2023 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Alvaro Garcia 19' goal
  • Fran Garcia 53' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 83'