Conference League
Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Samsunspor 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano

Samsunspor

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Samsunspor 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.87%. A draw has a probability of 28.57% and a win for Samsunspor has a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.38%) , while for a Samsunspor win it is 0-1 (9.66%).

Result

Rayo Vallecano 43.87% (-1.25)
Draw 28.57% (+0.24)
Samsunspor 27.59% (+1.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.22% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.96% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 34.04% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 41.03% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.97% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.27% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 78.75% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 11.46% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 88.54% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 32.81% (-0.61)
Draw 42.65% (-0.35)
Samsunspor 24.54% (+0.95)

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 49.55% (-2.07)
No Goal 11.17% (+0.09)
Samsunspor 39.28% (+1.99)

Corners

Over 8 53.83% (+0.55)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.08)
Under 8 34.26% (-0.64)
Over 9 42.07% (+0.44)
Equal 9 11.76% (+0.11)
Under 9 46.17% (-0.55)
Over 10.5 31.41% (+0.31)
Under 10.5 68.59% (-0.30)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 37.11% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 62.89% (+0.90)
Over 2.5 15% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 85% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 4.95% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 95.05% (+0.25)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 58.98% (+0.90)
Under 0.5 41.02% (-0.90)
Over 1.5 24.96% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 75.04% (-0.81)
Over 2.5 8.25% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 91.75% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 2.4% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 97.6% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 43.87%
Draw 28.57%
Samsunspor 27.59%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.24% (-0.28)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.24)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.84% (-0.26)
Total : 43.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 11.17% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 28.57%
Samsunspor
0-1 @ 9.66% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 6.1% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 4.44% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.04% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.46% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.29% (+0.19)
Total : 27.59%

Head to Head

Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 21' goal
  • Emre Kılınç 63' yellowcard
  • Tanguy Coulibaly 64' yellowcard
  • Zeki Yavru 64' yellowcard
  • Cherif Ndiaye 82' yellowcard
  • goal Alexandre Zurawski 15'
  • goal Álvaro García 40'
  • yellowcard Óscar Valentín 76'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 76'
  • yellowcard Pedro Díaz 76'
  • yellowcard Óscar Valentín 77'
  • goal Alexandre Zurawski 78'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 83'
  • yellowcard Gerard Gumbau 87'