Conference League
Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Iván Balliu 64' yellowcard
  • Sergio Camello 79' yellowcard
  • Pedro Díaz 80' yellowcard
  • Óscar Valentín 80' yellowcard
  • Sergio Camello 80' yellowcard
  • Nobel Mendy 90' yellowcard
  • goal Cherif Ndiaye 65'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Coulibaly 80'
  • yellowcard Emre Kılınç 80'
  • yellowcard Toni Borevković 87'

Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Samsunspor 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano

Samsunspor

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Samsunspor 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.77% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 27.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%) , while for a Samsunspor win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 43.8% (-0.43)
Draw 28.77% (+0.29)
Samsunspor 27.43% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.7% (-0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.15% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 34.85% (+0.90)
Over 2.5 39.94% (-1.22)
Under 2.5 60.06% (+1.22)
Over 3.5 20.57% (-0.86)
Under 3.5 79.44% (+0.88)
Over 4.5 11.01% (-0.61)
Under 4.5 88.99% (+0.61)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 32.32% (-0.46)
Draw 43.25% (+0.61)
Samsunspor 24.43% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 48.57% (-1.00)
No Goal 11.46% (+0.32)
Samsunspor 39.97% (+0.68)

Corners

Over 8 54.91% (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.65% (-0.05)
Under 8 33.45% (+0.28)
Over 9 43.3% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.6% (-0.08)
Under 9 45.09% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 32.68% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 67.32% (+0.07)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 36.47% (-1.00)
Under 1.5 63.53% (+1.00)
Over 2.5 14.52% (-0.80)
Under 2.5 85.48% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 4.8% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 95.2% (+0.30)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 58.42% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 41.58% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 24.33% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 75.67% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 7.93% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 92.07% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 2.23% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 97.77% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 43.81%
Draw 28.77%
Samsunspor 27.44%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.59% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 8.22% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.15)
Other @ 4.72% (-0.27)
Total : 43.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 11.46% (+0.32)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.03)
Total : 28.77%
Samsunspor
0-1 @ 9.82% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.46% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.03% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.15% (-0.11)
Total : 27.44%

Head to Head

Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 21' goal
  • Emre Kılınç 63' yellowcard
  • Tanguy Coulibaly 64' yellowcard
  • Zeki Yavru 64' yellowcard
  • Cherif Ndiaye 82' yellowcard
  • goal Alexandre Zurawski 15'
  • goal Álvaro García 40'
  • yellowcard Óscar Valentín 76'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 76'
  • yellowcard Pedro Díaz 76'
  • yellowcard Óscar Valentín 77'
  • goal Alexandre Zurawski 78'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 83'
  • yellowcard Gerard Gumbau 87'