Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 21' goal
  • Emre Kılınç 63' yellowcard
  • Tanguy Coulibaly 64' yellowcard
  • Zeki Yavru 64' yellowcard
  • Cherif Ndiaye 82' yellowcard
  • goal Alexandre Zurawski 15'
  • goal Álvaro García 40'
  • yellowcard Óscar Valentín 76'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 76'
  • yellowcard Pedro Díaz 76'
  • yellowcard Óscar Valentín 77'
  • goal Alexandre Zurawski 78'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 83'
  • yellowcard Gerard Gumbau 87'

Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Samsunspor 46.1%
Draw 25.67% (+0.05)
Rayo Vallecano 28.21%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.22% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.66% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 26.34% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.12% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.88% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.83% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 73.17% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 14.82% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 85.18% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Samsunspor 36.16%
Draw 42.14%
Rayo Vallecano 21.7%

Team To Score First

Samsunspor 58.98% (-0.03)
No Goal 7.34% (+0.04)
Rayo Vallecano 33.68% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.34%
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 34.03%
Over 9 42.82%
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 45.66%
Over 10.5 32.31%
Under 10.5 67.69%

Samsunspor Goals

Over 1.5 43.17% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.83% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.83% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.17% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.59% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.41% (+0.02)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 63%
Under 0.5 37%
Over 1.5 28.99% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 71.01% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 10.05% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.9% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.1% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Samsunspor 46.08%
Draw 25.67%
Rayo Vallecano 28.2%
Samsunspor
1-0 @ 10.94%
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.18% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.46% (-0.03)
Total : 46.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.34% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.67%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 4.38% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.77% (-0.01)
Total : 28.2%