Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2026 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı (İstanbul)
  • Tiago Çukur 73' yellowcard
  • Serginho 73' yellowcard
  • Barış Kalaycı 83' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Traore 83' yellowcard
  • Barış Kalaycı 84' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Traore 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marius Mouandilmadji 76'
  • yellowcard Elayis Tavsan 76'
  • yellowcard Yalçın Kayan 76'

Fatih Karagumruk vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 5.00pm
Kasimpasa 3 - 2 Karagumruk
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
David Datro Fofana

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 5.00pm
Antalyaspor 3 - 1 Samsunspor
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Anthony Musaba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Fatih Karagumruk 28.54% (+0.17)
Draw 25.37%
Samsunspor 46.08% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.52% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.47% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.53% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.16% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 49.84% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 28.25% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 71.75% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 15.42% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.58% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Fatih Karagumruk 22.56%
Draw 40.86%
Samsunspor 36.58%

Team To Score First

Fatih Karagumruk 37.08%
No Goal 7.17% (-0.03)
Samsunspor 55.75% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.08% (-0.08)
Equal 8 12.32% (+0.05)
Under 8 33.6% (+0.04)
Over 9 41.87% (-0.11)
Equal 9 12.21% (+0.04)
Under 9 45.92% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 30.82% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 69.18% (+0.14)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 1.5 29.68% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 70.32% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 10.53% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 89.47% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.98% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.02% (-0.05)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 75.82% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 24.18% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 44.08% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.92% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.23% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 80.77% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.85% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 93.15% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 28.54%
Draw 25.36%
Samsunspor 46.09%
Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 7.88% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 6.67%
2-0 @ 4.55% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.8% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.88% (+0.03)
Total : 28.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 25.36%
Samsunspor
0-1 @ 10.47% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.96% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.63% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.75% (-0.06)
Total : 46.09%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Sep 21, 2025 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vefa Stadi
  • Tonio Teklic 15' yellowcard
  • Marcao 42' goal
  • Ryan Mendes 50' goal
  • Valentin Eysseric 70' yellowcard
  • Guven Yalcin 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Haluk Mustafa Tan 39'
  • goal Soner Aydogdu 57'
  • redcard Yunus Cift 72'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 16' yellowcard
  • Taylan Antalyali 30' yellowcard
  • Ercan Kara 84' goal
  • yellowcard Valentin Eysseric 24'
  • yellowcard Can Keles 64'
  • yellowcard Davide Biraschi 90'+3'